The latest FDU Public Mind Poll indicates that Gov. Phil Murphy is beginning his administration with an approval rating of 35 percent.
Although this is a significant improvement over public support for the outgoing Christie administration, Murphy's numbers are considerably lower than for his past two predecessors when they began their terms in office.
Among adults in New Jersey, around a third (35 percent) say they approve of the job Murphy's doing so far, with a fifth (21 percent) who disapprove and a plurality (40 percent) who don't know enough to register a response.
"At this point, support, or lack thereof, for Murphy is more of a gut reaction. However, it's notable that Murphy fares worse in the so-called 'honeymoon period' than Christie and Jon Corzine," said Krista Jenkins, director of the FDU Poll and a professor of political science.
In January 2010, when Chris Christie began his two terms in office, 48 percent approved while 31 percent disapproved. Jon Corzine had the support of 47 percent in March 2006 with a 16 percent disapproval rating.
After recent changes to the federal tax code put a $10,000 cap on deductions for state and local taxes, Gov. Phil Murphy and U.S. Reps. Josh Gottheimer and Bill Pascrell proposed using property-tax payments as charitable contributions to help New Jersey homeowners get around the cap and maybe take a lesser hit when paying their federal taxes.
Unfortunately, that strategy is highly unlikely to work, if a’ poll is anything to go by: Of 828 certified public accountants who were polled this month, more than 70 percent said the maneuver would not pass muster with the Internal Revenue Service.
The accountants pointed out that since taxpayers would receive a benefit from their charitable donation, such as a reduction in their property taxes equal to the amount of their donation, it would not qualify as a contribution. Others warned that the strategy might lead to an increased risk of audit. Some also doubted the IRS would grant a 501(c)(3) status to the proposed creation of related charitable trusts.
As the state that gave the world Frank Sinatra and Bruce Springsteen, New Jersey has more than enough street cred. No surprise then, that there were 13 Grammy nominees who either hail from or live in the Garden State at last night's gala:
Jack Antonoff (Bergenfield)
Cardi B (Englewood)
Jean and Marcus Baylor (nominated for their band The Baylor Project, from Morristown)
Bill Charlap (Director of Jazz Studies at William Paterson University in Wayne)
Tom Coyne (Elizabeth)
Alex Han (Tenafly)
Ice-T (nominated in his band Body Count, from Newark)
Jake Luhrs (nominated as part of the band August Burns Red, from Montclair)
Christian McBride (Montclair)
James Murphy (Princeton Junction)
Robert Randolph (nominated with his band Robert Randolph and the Family Band, from Irvington)
Bruce Springsteen (New Jersey)
Honorable mention: Ted Resnick from Flemington installed the red carpet!
Today, we clink our glasses for the Garden State’s wine industry and its contribution to the state’s economy. Areports that its economic impact in 2016 amounted to $323 million. That was an increase of almost 40 percent over 2011 ($231 million).
It seems the industry’s been on a bit of tear of late. Between 2011 and 2016, wine production here increased by just over 73 percent (from 405,954 gallons to 702,671 gallons). During the same period, the number of wineries in the state went from 38 to 50. By 2016, 1,582 acres here were under the vine.
The study, which was released by the Garden State Wine Growers Association, notes that most wineries in New Jersey are small, producing less than 5,000 cases a year. And most sell their wine directly to consumers through winery tasting rooms.
It's always good to have something tucked away for those rainy days, but apparently New Jersey needs to do a lot more tucking. According to the latest iteration of the Pew Charitable Trust's Fiscal 50 Tool, New Jersey could have operated juston its budget reserve, which totaled slightly more than 1 percent of spending, during fiscal year 2017. The 50-state median was 29.3 days, based on reserve funds that totaled eight percent of spending.
WalletHub’s recent ranking of New Jersey as theis troubling for several reasons. We usually finish in second place, right behind Massachusetts, which is in its accustomed berth. Why the plummet in position? For one thing, WalletHub is factoring all levels of education into its calculations — from high school diplomas and associate degrees (or “college-experienced adults”) to bachelor’s to graduate and professional degrees. All these certificates are hard won, but should they be counted equally?
New Jersey does just fine for bachelor’s (5th) and graduate/professional degrees (7th) but gets pulled down by finishing 26th for high school and 23rd for associate degrees. We think the assessment and the ranking could have been fairer. WalletHub may disagree.
Recently releasedshow a loss of 11,400 jobs in December 2017. Although job numbers rose for 2017 overall, the increase wasn’t anything to write home about; it came to 22,900. Unemployment in the Garden State at the end of last year was 5 percent, which was above the total for the previous year (4.7 percent).
The number of people employed in non-farm jobs in the state at the end of December was 4,166,400. Included in that figure were 406,600 jobs in “goods producing,” 249,200 in manufacturing, and 156,100 in construction. The big job numbers were in education, health, and social assistance services (705,000), government (620,300), and the leisure and hospitality industry (369,800). Jobs in mining and logging? 1,300.
New Jersey workers stand to lose $21 million in tips a year under a proposed federal Department of Labor (DOL) rule making it legal for employers to pocket their workers' tips as long as they pay those workers the minimum wage, according to areleased this week by the Economic Policy Institute (EPI).
The proposed rule, which was unveiled in December, rescinds portions of longstanding DOL regulations that prohibit employers from taking tips. New Jersey has an estimated 140,000 tipped workers, and they are more likely than nontipped workers to live in poor households and lack any type of health insurance.
Spending by the so-called Big Six committees totaled 13.3 million in 2017, but the amount was dwarfed by independent special-interest spending, according to an analysis by the New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission (ELEC).
Independent groups spenton last year's election, more than triple the sum spent by the two state parties and four legislative leadership committees. The governor's seat and all 120 legislative seats were up for re-election.
"Party committees are now regularly outgunned by independent groups during New Jersey's statewide elections," said Jeff Brindle, ELEC's executive director.
In 2007, Big Six committees spent 142 times more than independent groups in the election. By 2017, independent committees spent more than three times the Big Six total. Of the total amount spent by the two groups, the 23 percent share by the Big Six was its lowest ever.
H3N2 Virulent flu virus that has knocked NJ for a loop
This year’s influenza outbreak is already the most widespread on record since health officials began keeping track about a dozen years ago, with millions of Americans being infected by emerging and current strains such as the dominant H3N2.
Unfortunately, New Jersey is one of the 26 U.S. states, districts, and territories experiencing high rates of influenza-like illness. The past three weeks have seen a spike in positive laboratory tests for flu throughout the state — particularly in northern and central New Jersey — and in reports of absences in schools and workplaces. Emergency department visits for influenza-like illnesses also have risen during this period.
The flu is nothing to fool around with: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported 56,000 influenza-related deaths in the United States for 2012 to 2013.
This year’s vaccination is estimated to be between 10 percent to 30 percent effective, but adults and children are urged to get a flu shot — if they have not yet done so.
While children and people over 65 are most vulnerable, the flu can have complications or be fatal to people of all ages. Women who are pregnant and people with diabetes and other chronic illnesses are also particularly vulnerable.
Enter your ZIP code atto find a location near you that is offering flu shots.
Rideshare programs like Lyft are a convenient way to get around. Now it appears that they’re a good way to spread some wealth around as well. An economic impact report released by the company indicates that Lyft passengers generated an additionalfor local businesses in Newark.
The report also created a profile of Newark Lyft drivers and passengers, including:
29 percent of Lyft passengers use Lyft to connect with public transit;
30 percent of passengers use Lyft to get around when public transit does not operate;
64 percent of drivers identify with a minority group;
71 percent of drivers are the primary earners for their household;
22 percent of rides start in low-income areas.
New Jersey’s doctors help keep residents in good health. They don’t do a bad job with the state’s economy either, generating $55.4 billion in economic activity, according to a, “The Economic Impact of Physicians in New Jersey,” released by the Medical Society of New Jersey (MSNJ) and the American Medical Association (AMA). That dollar figure translates into 9.8 percent of the state’s economy, with each provider creating $2.4 million on average.
The report also indicates that the state’s 22,697 active physicians support 281,923 jobs; contribute $30.9 billion in total wages and benefits paid to workers (each doctor is responsible for an average of $1.4 million in wages and benefits); and generate $2.7 billion in state and local tax revenue for their communities (which translates into $116,922 for each physician on average).
Anyone concerned they won’t be getting their daily ration of chuckles and guffaws without Gov. Chris Christie on hand to bloviate and bully his way through state business, should consider buying one of these: a genuine. Manufactured by the National Bobblehead Museum and Hall of Fame, these keepsakes have been specially priced at $13 (down from $20.16), to match the governor’s approval rating in the latest . The museum said that of the 500 bobbleheads originally made, only 200 remain. Act now.
Two places in New Jersey have made it onto a list of the most expensive ZIP codes in the United States. Woo hoo! Or maybe not — just think about the property taxes. The two are Alpine’s 07620, where the median sale price for a home in 2017 was $1,775,000; that landed it in 50th place among a total of 110 ZIP codes listed, and Short Hills’ 07078 is in 93rd place (median sale price, $1,422,500).
, which reflects sales in 2017, was put together by propertyshark.com, the property-research website. It is based on analysis of the sale of single-family homes, condos, and co-op units.
The starkest fact about the compilation is that it includes ZIP codes in only 11 states. And of the 110 ZIP codes listed, 77 are in California; New York comes next, with 19 on the list.
The most expensive ZIP code on the list is in San Mateo County, California: Atherton’s 94027 had a median home sale price last year that was just a whisper below $5 million.
A total of 36 women (26 Democrats, 10 Republicans) were sworn in as members of the New Jersey Legislature yesterday, which means 30 percent of all legislators are now women. And half of New Jersey’s women legislators (18) are women of color: nine are black and nine are Latinas. They are all Democrats.
When Gov. Chris Christie delivers his State of the State today, he will do so as the most unpopular governor in the history of New Jersey. That may not come as a surprise to anyone following the State House; what’s shocking is how abysmal his ratings actually are. According to today’s, only 5 percent of those surveyed said they will miss the governor when he’s gone: that works out to about 350,000 out of the approximately 7 million adults who live in the Garden State. About 10 times that number said they’ll be glad to see him go — “Don’t let the door hit you on the way out.”
Christie’s report card is just as dismal. He earned a D+ for his overall performance; C- for education and schools; C- for economy and jobs; C- for crime and drugs; D+ for transportation and infrastructure; D for state budget; D for state pension fund; and D for taxes.
Christie’s GPA: 1.3 — not exactly a gentleman’s C.
Some sobering statistics from the New Jersey Department of Children and Families: 5.5 youths per 100,000 between the ages of 10 – 24 killed themselves in 2015, the last year for which complete data is available. The suicide rate for this cohort is lower than for the United States overall. And while the rate for older youths (19 - 24) is on the decline, the incidence of suicide for younger people (10 – 18) is on the rise.
Young men are more likely to take their own lives than young women: 7.7/100,000 compared with 3.1. And males 19 – 24 are far likelier to commit suicide: 14.4 versus 4.7. White non-Hispanics (5.7) and black non-Hispanics (5.6) are equally likely to kill themselves; the rate for Hispanics is 3.4/100,000. Asian/Pacific Islander youths are the most likely to commit suicide: 6.1.
Hanging/strangling/suffocation is the most common means of committing suicide: 48 perent for males, 52 percent for females. Males are more likely to use firearms, while females are more likely to resort to poison.
For all the bombast about, winter storm Grayson turned out to be a bit of a bust. The deepest snowfall reported, as of last night, was at Cape May Court House, with other parts of New Jersey picking up over a foot of snow. Other areas, however, saw only a few inches of accumulation.
Regardless, Grayson couldn’t hold a shovel to the Great Blizzard of March 1888, according to State Climatologist David Robinson. The three-day storm dumped as much as five feet of snow across the Northeast, with drifts as high as 10 feet.
A law passed by the Oregon Legislature that will go into effect this week will let 400,000 residents of rural counties pump their own gas. That leaves New Jersey as the only state that completely bans customers from filling their own tanks.
The prohibition goes back to 1949, when the New Jersey Legislature passed the Retail Gasoline Dispensing Safety Act, primarily over concerns about the safety of consumers pumping their own fuel.
As of 2015, New Jersey had more than 10,000 gas station attendants, who made an average of $9.05 an hour, according to the state Department of Labor. In March of that year, the U.S. Department of Labor announced it had recovered $5.5 million in back wages for New Jersey gas station attendants who were not paid minimum wage or overtime in the past five years.
If New Jersey seems a tad less crowded of late, you might be onto something. According to United Van Lines’ 2017, which tracks customers’ state-to-state migration patterns over the past year, New Jersey had an outbound migration rate of 63 percent. Simply said, of all the moves made in the Garden State, 63 percent were to somewhere else. Illinois was the only state with an equally high outbound rate, although more people moved from Illinois, which earned it the outbound crown.
New York (61 percent) and Connecticut (57 percent) made the list of top outbound states for the third consecutive year. Massachusetts (56 percent) reached the top of the outbound list this year.
Those making the outbound trek had numerous reasons for doing so: the most commonly cited was job (39 percent), followed by retirement (28 percent), lifestyle (21 percent), family (20 percent), and health (4 percent).
Despite all the talk about millennials moving out of state, 30 percent of those leaving were 55 to 64, while 28 percent were 64 or older. Millennials were mixed in with the 18-34 group (17 percent).
Perhaps the most distressing stats have to do with income: 42 percent of those leaving the state earn $150,000 or more a year. Twenty-two percent earned $100,000 to $149,999.
So where were all these folks headed? United Van Lines offers regional statistics. The Mountain West was the most popular destination for retirees, with one in four indicating they chose to move to this location for retirement. Top regions attracting movers taking new jobs included the Midwest (61 percent) and Pacific West (59 percent). The region with the largest exodus due to finding jobs elsewhere was the South (61 percent).
We have a winner! The year 2018 began with thein the Garden State, with temperatures going as low as 6 degrees. While January is expected to bring to New Jersey, this winter is — believe it or not — generally expected to be .
The population of the Garden State has reached a record 9 million. Indeed, according to new estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau, it stood at 9,005,644 on July 1 this year, confirming it as the 11th most populous state in the nation, the same rank it has held since 2005.
Although the population here continues to grow, it is doing so at a snail’s pace — 27,228 new New Jerseyans joined our ranks between 2016 and 2017. That represents an increase of 0.30 percent, which was less than half the national increase (0.72 percent). Still, that’s an improvement on the 2015-2016 growth rate (0.21 percent), a period when the national rate was 0.76 percent.
For the 2000 to 2010 decade, New Jersey came in 34th among the states for growth. But outmigrating millennials might threaten the state’s continued growth.
"The state is at a point where coordinated and purposeful guidance of state investments and incentives to create vibrant, walkable places could improve its prospects for growth, especially among the Millennial population," Peter Kasabach, executive director of New Jersey Future, a nonprofit dedicated to sensible growth and development, said.
As expected, although contrary to general Republican talking points, the GOP’s final federal tax plan will raise taxes for the average middle-class and low-income family in New Jersey while cutting taxes for wealthier families.
According to a new report from New Jersey Policy Perspective, a liberal think tank, the GOP’s plan will give the bottom 60 percent of families in the state — those with incomes below $111,000 — what amounts to less than 0 percent of the tax cut. That's because the GOP plan will load them up with another $331 million in taxes. And, after crunching the numbers, NJPP estimates the top 1 percent of households in the state — those with incomes above $1.4 million — will do nicely; they can look forward to an average tax cut of $8,470.
The plan will also increase by 340,000 the number of New Jerseyans without health insurance by 2027, as a result of its repeal of the Affordable Care Act’s individual mandate.
“Like so many families across the country, Republican leaders in Congress are busy this week making last-minute preparations for Christmas," said Jon Whiten, NJPP’s vice president and author of. "They are wrapping their expensive gifts to large, profitable corporations in this tax bill that they are rushing through — but they're buying these presents on layaway, and all of us will be the ones to pay the hefty price when the bill comes due."
The Christie administration has appropriated close to $15 million from the 2018 budget for increases in the rates of payment to certain childcare providers. Ranging between 1 percent and 4 percent, they will go to childcare centers paid through the Child Care Subsidy Program; the increases will be phased in during the first half of 2018.
There will also be an incentive rate of 4 percent up to 24 percent for centers rated at three or above in Grow NJ Kids, the Quality Rating Improvement System (QRIS) that the departments of Education, Children and Families, and Human Services administer.
About 5,000 childcare providers in New Jersey, serving 65,000 children, receive just over $300 million in childcare subsidies annually.
New Jersey isn’t doing much to help prevent kids from starting smoking or assisting smokers of all ages to quit. That’s theof a report that’s the work of several leading public health organizations, which ranks New Jersey 48th in smoking education and cessation efforts. The state this year spent $500,000 on these programs, just 0.5 percent of the $103.3 million recommended by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
In New Jersey, 8.2 percent of high school students smoke, and 3,500 kids become regular smokers each year. Tobacco use claims 11,800 New Jersey lives and costs the state $4.1 billion in healthcare bills annually.
New Jersey should do better next year on all fronts: The governor just signed A-3338/S-862, which dedicates one percent of cigarette and other tobacco products tax revenues to anti-smoking initiatives.
The report — “Broken Promises to Our Children: A State-by-State Look at the 1998 Tobacco Settlement 19 Years Later” — was released by the Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids, American Cancer Society Cancer Action Network (ACS CAN), American Heart Association, American Lung Association, Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, Americans for Nonsmokers’ Rights, and Truth Initiative.
As if to underline the reach of opioids in the Garden State, the latestby the finds that 31 percent of New Jersey households were prescribed opioid painkillers within the past year — and one-third of those say they plan to keep leftover painkillers in case of future need.
The rate of opioid prescription ranges from a high of 46 percent of households in southeastern New Jersey to a low of 22 percent in the northeast, the poll found.
“The commonplace nature of prescription opioids puts many thousands in New Jersey at risk of abuse, addiction or worse,” said Joel Cantor, director of the center. He cautioned that the poll’s findings may, in fact, understate the extent to which families hold on to opioids — “as many people know they are not supposed to keep leftover drugs and may be reticent to admit it to telephone interviewers.”
A single high-school student-athlete tested positive for any of 80 banned substances in the New Jersey State Interscholastic Athletic Association’s 2016-2017 steroid-testing program. In all, 506 student-athletes were tested, 356 boys and 146 girls, drawn from teams that qualified for state tournaments.
The boys who were tested were in football (194 tests), baseball (60), basketball (30), winter track (12), soccer (24), and lacrosse (36 tests). The girls were in softball (30), basketball (24), field hockey (24), swimming (30), soccer (24), winter track (12), and spring track (2).
“It’s terrific that only one student tested positive this year, but we really need the means of testing more broadly to better assess the level of substance abuse. In particular, we’re looking to test for opioids, given the current epidemic,” Steve Timko, NJSIAA’s executive director, said. It costs about $200 to conduct each test (which is done by urinalysis).
As part of its testing program, the NJSIAA gives student-athletes, parents, and coaches access to a website that identifies whether athletic supplements containby the association.
New Jerseyans see a glimmer of hope for the Garden State following Phil Murphy’s gubernatorial victory, according to the latest. After an increasingly pessimistic outlook about the state for the past two years, residents have slightly reversed course: while 60 percent believe New Jersey is still on the wrong track, 30 percent now say the state is headed in the right direction — a double-digit increase since August.
What’s more, a plurality (46 percent) thinks that things will get better under the upcoming Murphy administration; 20 percent, on the other hand, believe things will get worse; 23 percent say they will remain the same; and 10 percent are unsure.
The New Jersey Society of CPAs (NJCPA) surveyed accountants recently on the implications of the tax plan Republicans are pushing in Washington, D.C. Seventy percent of 861 CPAs said that if the Republican plan goes through, their Garden State clients will have to pay higher taxes. (The GOP plan calls for the elimination of state and local tax deductions, and would cap the deduction for property taxes at $10,000.)
The CPAs, who noted that “almost all” of their clients take state and local income tax deductions, said hit hardest would be those in the $150,000 to $325,000 income bracket (53 percent), followed by those in the $75,000 to $150,000 bracket (49 percent).
Rather ominously for the long-term health — or, perhaps, wealth — of the Garden State, the CPAs said that elimination of the state and local tax deduction would “definitely” (40 percent) or “somewhat” (39 percent) color the advice they give clients on whether to move out of New Jersey. Only 22 percent said it would affect their advice “not at all.”